Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1.895497 2.171398 2.474678 2.832998 3.245081 3.704506 4.256082
2025-07-27 1.572303 1.949157 2.397955 2.972713 3.690639 4.559661 5.694315
2025-08-03 1.312436 1.740844 2.287337 3.037617 4.044347 5.353379 7.192805
2025-08-10 1.073779 1.510954 2.103203 2.967572 4.203034 5.914648 8.482316
2025-08-17 0.873148 1.294416 1.896288 2.823719 4.226082 6.282234 9.553320
2025-08-24 0.748280 1.163067 1.785030 2.792093 4.395364 6.871630 11.030139
2025-08-31 0.645539 1.047440 1.677160 2.743931 4.524224 7.408348 12.499323
2025-09-07 0.594989 1.005208 1.675107 2.859414 4.926018 8.429111 14.913216
2025-09-14 0.538821 0.944746 1.633355 2.899646 5.202420 9.273338 17.148719
2025-09-21 0.480254 0.871428 1.558782 2.869776 5.347047 9.901184 19.082442
2025-09-28 0.420199 0.787016 1.452916 2.766770 5.339580 10.244990 20.523164
2025-10-05 0.399152 0.771495 1.469671 2.894503 5.785736 11.502999 23.954519
2025-10-12 0.378503 0.755701 1.487004 3.032474 6.286353 12.969091 28.121394
2025-10-19 0.355850 0.733000 1.488129 3.138688 6.740151 14.413495 32.506900
2025-10-26 0.329151 0.698422 1.460770 3.181582 7.066660 15.640610 36.632446
2025-11-02 0.293871 0.641008 1.378386 3.093543 7.091346 16.209518 39.336190
2025-11-09 0.257409 0.576162 1.271577 2.935350 6.931458 16.333027 40.987100
2025-11-16 0.234619 0.538838 1.220463 2.897807 7.049295 17.125105 44.447885
2025-11-23 0.213360 0.502247 1.166269 2.845117 7.122166 17.818908 47.780594
2025-11-30 0.205388 0.495876 1.181345 2.963388 7.640715 19.706867 54.657462
2025-12-07 0.193278 0.477914 1.166428 3.004178 7.965856 21.147628 60.567591
2025-12-14 0.178267 0.450830 1.125746 2.972648 8.094163 22.085524 65.214998
2025-12-21 0.160866 0.415501 1.060018 2.865525 7.999867 22.400090 68.080191